The Importance Of Holding Your Nerve

During the run up to events that are likely to cause volatility in the markets, such as the recent general election, there is the temptation to try and hide. To pull all of the money out of the market and sit safely in cash. As various academic studies have shown, this is a strategy that is unlikely to work.

For a start, at what point do you pull out of the market? Just when will be the highest point before the fall?

The other issue, is when to go back in. When have the markets reached rock bottom?

The surprise Conservative election victory is a case in point. If you had pulled your money out of the markets in the days before the election, you would have missed out on the nearly 2.5% growth in the FTSE 100 that followed on the Friday.

This study, based in the US, has shown that if you had remained fully invested in the market for the past 20 years, you would have averaged an impressive 9.22% average annual return. However, if you had missed just the best 40 days during that same 20 year period, your return would actually have been negative.

Given that the FTSE 100 rarely has jumps quite as large as what happened on the 8th May, I suspect that this may well be one of those 40 days in the 20 years to come.

The Value Of Advice – Part 2

As I continue my studies into the value of financial planning advice for my masters degree, I have been amazed at the level of academic research that has already been done into this interesting area. Of particular note is the fact that much of this research concludes that financial planning advice can add significant value for clients with all levels of family wealth.

Also of interest is the fact that financial planning advice would appear to add the most value during times of financial stress. It seems that financial planning advice helps to reduce losses, even more than it seems to enhance gains.

I am looking into the intangible benefits of financial planning advice. My clients often report feelings of security and peace of mind once we have concluded our initial financial planning process. These feelings are only enhanced as the relationship develops over time. I am seeking to find out the value that clients place on these intangible benefits. This is quite an undertaking and has lead me to consider research in many other areas such as healthcare, public services and economics.

As the time for me to begin my dissertation draws closer, I am surprised by the parallels that can be drawn between financial planning and many other professions. When I started this project, I never thought that research into inhaled insulin for diabetics would be having such a significant influence on how I design my research project!

I will keep you updated on my progress (if I have time) as the big deadline for submission draws closer.

Freedom Comes With a Health Warning

With all of the excitement and media comment surrounding the new pension freedoms, the 6th April itself seemed to pass without incident. While some providers have reported an increase in call volumes, it would appear that for the moment, there has not been a gold rush on the nations pension pots.

All of this new freedom and flexibility is fantastic for those who wish to use their pension pots to fund a lump sum purchase, a holiday or even a Lamborghini. However for those of us who still wish to generate an income for life with our pension funds, we have a tough choice to make. Do you purchase an annuity with the guarantee of an income for life, but with loss of your capital sum, or, do you opt for a drawdown pension and draw an income out of your invested lump sum.

While the latter option will be appealing to many, especially given the ability to pass on any unused funds to a beneficiary, it does come with a health warning.

You see the problem with this approach is that none us knows exactly how long we are going to live and therefore, how long this pot will need to last for. The main risk here is what we would call ‘sequence of return’ risk. That is to say, in what order do the returns on your fund occur. We all know that over the long term asset backed investments tend to out-perform cash, but they are volatile. The impact on your retirement of a 10% fall in your fund value during the first year will be very different to a 10% fall in year 10. It is very important to diversify and smooth the returns of the market as far as possible in order to protect your fund from sudden falls, especially in the early years.

This article from the Telegraph sums this up fairly well and is worth a read if you are considering taking a drawdown pension. While I am certainly in favour of the new flexibility rules, it is important that we consider all of the risks involved before taking the leap!

The Value Of Advice – Part 1

As some of you may already know, I have committed to completing a masters degree in Financial Planning and Business Management with Manchester Metropolitan University this year. Given that it has been several years since my last true academic endeavors (numerous professional qualifications aside), I have been pleasantly surprised by how much I am enjoying the process.

Having viewed the financial planning world through the lens of an adviser on the ‘front line’ it has amazed me how much academic research is going on behind the scenes in the financial planning profession.

What is amazing about this research is that is it completely independent and unbiased and in may cases, is reviewed by academic peers to ensure its quality.

I have chosen to base my masters dissertation on the value of the intangible benefits of taking financial advice, which clients often inform me are far more valuable than the significant financial gains made as a result of our advice process. I will be trying to establish exactly what intangible benefits of the advice process that clients value and then to determine what monetary value might be placed on those benefits.

All of this is quite an undertaking, however I am looking forward to conducting my research with access to a whole new world of academic information.

I am sure I will have some further updates for you as my dissertation progresses throughout the year, but for now – I’m off to hit the books!

Perhaps We All Need A Time Tikker?

I was attending a presentation on Estate Planning for clients the other day and the presenter had a rather interesting little wrist watch called the Tikker (http://mytikker.com). It is essentially a wrist watch that counts down your life. So for example, it might say that you have 44 years, 213 days, 12 hours and 23 minutes left to live (based on average life expectancy of course). While the idea of having a wrist watch to constantly remind you of your impending mortality might be a little too depressing, it probably wouldn’t hurt for most of us to consider the time we have left a little more often.

A good point that Tikker make on their website, is that if we were told we have only 1 year left to live, it would probably change the way we live our lives. The one resource that we have no power or control over is time. The rest of our lives can be shaped to be the way we want them to be, but time will always be limited.

While a wrist watch might be just one step too far for me – It would probably be wise to consider how you wish to use the time you have left, before it’s too late!

How To Blow Your Pension

You may have seen the Panorama programme on television on Monday night attempting to explain the new pension reforms. While the programme did highlight some of the potential pitfalls to be aware of, there were a couple of the sections that I felt were a little lacking:

  • At the beginning of the programme, the presenter looked at an average pension pot of around £32,000 and then proceeded to go on an imaginary shopping spree with the funds. The one problem was, he did not appear to account for the tax that would have been paid if you had taken this whole pension pot in full. Unfortunately, many people seem unaware that there is tax to pay on any pension withdrawal after the 25% tax free portion has been taken.
  • There was also a case study of a lady who had recently been ‘forced’ to purchase an annuity. The concept of a drawdown pension has now existed for over a decade and, since it’s introduction there has not been a ‘requirement’ to purchase an annuity. The sad truth is that many people did not understand the options available to them when making the once-in-a-lifetime decision about how to use their pension funds.

What the programme highlighted is the increased need to ensure that you are aware of all of the options available to you at retirement. A qualified Chartered Financial Planner can help you to do just that!

Committing to Commitment

With the new year already in full swing, the statistics tell us that around 25% of those people who made a new years resolution will have already broken it. By the end of January this figure increases to nearly 35%, and by the end of the year a whopping 90% of people admit to letting their new years resolutions go out of the window.

What I have found works for me in maintaining these commitments that we make to ourselves is trying to make a commitment to the commitment (that’s a lot of commitments!). What I mean by this is doing something that means that you can’t turn back. This could mean actually writing the cheque for that course you have been meaning to take, sign up to run the London marathon rather than just saying that you will, set up the standing order to make your regular savings, rather than promising yourself that you will at the end of the month.

These are all small actions that can prevent us from getting off track when we commit to making changes in our lives. I know that this philosophy works for me. In fact, in the past 2 days I have bitten one of the biggest bullets of my life and committed to taking a masters degree in Financial Planning & Business Management this year at Manchester Metropolitan University. This is something that I have been wanting to do for the past year or so, but I must admit I have been procrastinating slightly. Having now sent back the acceptance form, I am well and truly IN. I have made a commitment to others and not just to myself, and all of a sudden, my motivation to complete the task at hand (no matter how daunting) is far higher than before I completed that little one page form.

I will end this post with a quote on commitment by William Hutchinson Murray. Happy new year!

“Until one is committed, there is hesitancy, the chance to draw back, always ineffectiveness. Concerning all acts of initiative (and creation), there is one elementary truth that ignorance of which kills countless ideas and splendid plans: that the moment one definitely commits oneself, then Providence moves too. All sorts of things occur to help one that would never otherwise have occurred. A whole stream of events issues from the decision, raising in one’s favor all manner of unforeseen incidents and meetings and material assistance, which no man could have dreamed would have come his way. Whatever you can do, or dream you can do, begin it. Boldness has genius, power, and magic in it. Begin it now.”

New intestacy laws come into effect

October has seen the Inheritance and Trustees’ Powers Act 2014 come into force, and while this legislation covered matters such as the definition of personal chattels, extending the number of people who can make a claim on a deceased’s estate and how Trustees can distribute income and capital from a Trust, the main thrust of this legislation is to make substantial changes to the law of intestacy.

While these changes are designed to make the distribution of an estate simpler and fairer, the changes will see some beneficiaries losing out.

What is intestacy?

When a person dies without leaving a will, they are defined in a legal sense as being “intestate”. In the absence of any instructions from the deceased, the value of the estate is distributed amongst family members by a set of legal rules (and in the absence of any bloodline relatives, the estate is claimed by the Crown!!!).

The new rules focus on the scenario where the deceased has a spouse, and whether the deceased had children or not.

Spouse with no children, but other family members

Old rules : Spouse receives the first £450,000 of the estate absolutely plus half of anything above that – the other half is passed onto other relatives in the order of parents, brothers and sisters (or nephews and nieces if their parents have already passed away).

New rules : Spouse inherits the entire estate absolutely.

Spouse with children

Old rules : Spouse inherits first £250,000 of the estate, with half of the remainder placed in a life interest trust ; the other half is split equally between all children of the deceased as long as they have reached 18 years of age (a trust must be put in place to hold assets for children under 18).

The life interest trust appoints the spouse as being entitled to income only from the trust during their lifetime; the capital is held for the children of the deceased, but this can only be distributed when the spouse subsequently passes away.

New rules : Spouse receives half of the estate absolutely, and the other half is passed onto children of the deceased in equal measures.

Impact of these changes

The changes clearly benefit any surviving spouse, which is in keeping with the wishes of most people who die without a will that “on my death, everything will go to the wife/husband”. However, for larger estates, these changes will see less going directly to any surviving children – while this will be ultimately passed on to children from their relationship, what about children of the deceased from a previous relationship?

What happens if the spouse remarries, falls out with the children and decides to leave everything to their new partner? Would this be what the deceased would have wanted?

If any doubt, make a Will

Unlike many other countries, the law in the United Kingdom allows an individual to leave their assets on death to whomever they chose, and the easiest way to make their intentions known is by making a Will. As part of the research into this new legislation, The Law Commission estimated that over half of the adult population in the UK do not have a will, and that those who need it most are in fact the least likely to have one.

Effecting a Will should be something that is considered as part of basic financial planning in the same way as saving money for a rainy day, or starting a pension to prepare for retirement – for those with children from multiple relationships, or who are unmarried and have a family with a common law partner, a Will is almost essential.

Many people are put off by the perceived costs of legal fees from high street solicitors, but the reality is that creating a Will is a lot cheaper than most people think, and doesn’t require a solicitor.

In Trusts we trust

The simplest way to ensure that a person’s wishes for the distribution of their assets are adhered to when they have passed away is to set up a Trust. As with Wills, many people perceive Trusts to be the domain of the mega rich, but the reality is that the use of Trusts should be seen as commonplace for effective estate planning.

A Trust is the most effective way of ensuring that assets remain within the bloodline, and are protected from attack from third parties in the event of divorce and bankruptcy – the use of Trusts will be something that is likely to feature in subsequent blogs.

Summary

While many people who don’t have a Will are not aware of the intestacy rules (new or old), they will have a significant impact on many, and are likely to see a substantial increase in disputes between children and surviving spouse’s ending up in the courtroom.

At Buckingham Gate, we recognise the importance of effective estate planning and are able to provide a great deal of assistance in setting up Wills and Trusts for clients to ensure that their estates are distributed in the most efficient manner in accordance to their wishes.

If you would like further information on our estate planning solutions, please contact us on 0203 478 2160, or email me on kevin.herron@buckinghamgate.co.uk.

Abolition of pension “death tax”

Since the government announcement on pension legislation changes in the March Budget, a commitment to reduce the taxation of death benefits from pension funds has been expected. However, the timing and the extent of these proposed changes confirmed by George Osborne on Monday at the Conservative Party Conference has taken everybody by surprise.

What is the situation currently?

For the majority of Defined Contribution (also known as money purchase) pension schemes, any lump sum benefit payable on death from a pension where benefits have not been taken, is payable as full return of fund which is tax free. As pensions are set up under a trust, this payment does not require probate, and is not part of the deceased’s estate for the purposes of any calculation of Inheritance Tax.

For pension funds that have been used to provide benefits via income drawdown (or where death occurs after 75 years of age) the fund is subject to a 55% tax charge if paid as a lump sum. This penal level of tax can be avoided if the fund is used to provide an income, but the income can only be paid to a dependant as defined by pension legislation, and this income is taxable at the marginal rate of the recipient.

HMRC have long been opposed to the concept of passing pension benefits to future generations, and the argument in favour of the 55% tax charge is that it allows a pension in payment to provide a lump sum payable to anybody which is not the case with other retirement options such as an annuity (typically only allows the continuation of income to a spouse).

What is changing?

From April 2015, any pension benefits payable on death before 75 will be tax free if taken as a lump sum, or if taken as income via the new flexible drawdown arrangements. On death after 75, any lump sum is taxable at a rate of 45%, but income can be paid to any beneficiary and taxed at the marginal rate of the recipient.

It should be noted that, regardless of when the policyholder dies, if the fund is used to provide an annuity, the recipient will pay tax on this income in all cases.

What does this mean if death occurs prior to April 2015?

If benefits have not been taken and death occurs prior to age 75, there is no difference as to how death benefits are taxed. However if benefits are in drawdown, a lump sum paid before April 2015 would be taxed at 55%, but any lump sum payable after April 2015 would be tax free (if the policyholder was under 75 at time of death).

The option on taking the lump sum from a drawdown policy can be deferred for up to two years, and so if payment of death benefits is delayed until after April 2015, the lump sum tax charge can be avoided.
What planning opportunities do these changes represent?

The proposals to allow people full access to their pension funds from age 55 will make investing in pensions much more attractive to many people, and the opportunity to pass this benefit onto family members’ tax free on death will only increase their appeal.

The fact that the lump sum or income can be passed on tax free to any beneficiary means that pension funds can become genuine family savings plans that will allow assets to be passed down the generations.

Even in cases where death occurs after 75, the fact that income can be paid to any beneficiary, and is taxable on the recipient, makes the use of a pension to fund education costs for grandchildren very attractive.

Every UK resident (including newborn children) has a personal allowance – this is the level of income below which no income tax is payable, and for the 2015/16 tax year is expected to be £10,500. This means that a pension fund where the policyholder was over 75 on death, can be used to pay up to £10,500 every tax year to multiple beneficiaries (including children); if the recipient has no other income, this payment will be tax free. With a bit of planning, a pension fund could be used to fund school and university fees for grandchildren with no tax payable at all.

What needs to be done now?

The proposed changes make it even more important that pension administrators are aware of the wishes of the policyholder for the payment of benefits on death. You should check with your pension provider to ensure that a nomination of beneficiary form has been completed, and that it is up to date – the nomination can be changed at any time, and multiple beneficiaries can be named.

In the absence of a completed form, the provider will have to make a decision as to whom benefits should be paid to which will delay payment, and could see payment paid to the wrong persons.

While pension benefits are not liable to Inheritance Tax, any lump sum paid is part of the recipient’s estate, and may be liable to Inheritance Tax on their death (which could be up to 40% of the inherited amount).

The impact on Inheritance Tax can be avoided by ensuring that any benefits on death are payable to a trust instead of a named individual – this ensures that benefits remain outside of Inheritance Tax considerations for multiple generations. For many middle aged individuals, their pension fund could be the second biggest asset they own after their home, and if their assets are above the current Nil Rate Band of £325,000, then a Death Benefit Trust should be seriously considered.

What is next?

As always with these announcements, the devil is in the detail (we’ve already seen the announcement in March of free face to face advice for all retirees being subsequently diluted to guidance) and the full picture will only become clearer in the Autumn Statement on 3rd December 2014.

The fact that income from an annuity on death will continue to be taxed means that the popularity of annuities will wane. However, the Autumn Statement is likely to see changes in annuities such as proposals to vary income, and receipt of lump sum benefits on death so there may yet be a place for them in the new regime.

The pension landscape will be unrecognisable in six month’s time to that which was in place at the beginning of the year, and we would strongly encourage all investors to seek advice and ensure that they use the new opportunities to the maximum.

The Impact of Scottish Independence – Part 2

In this second part of our Scottish Independence coverage, Kevin Herron looks at financial security, pensions and interest rates.

 

  1. Financial Security

Something that could see a great deal of movement of assets is the area of financial compensation – if one country were to offer a greater level of investor protection, then it could see an influx of new investment at the expense of the other. During the height of the credit crunch, there was a massive influx of deposits from banks in Northern Ireland to banks in the Republic of Ireland due to their greater level of investment protection.

A number of the biggest banks and investment companies in the UK such as Lloyds, RBS and Standard Life are registered in Scotland, and a number of them have already stated their intention to move to re domicile to England in the event of Scottish independence. However, if the majority of them decide to stay in Scotland, what impact would this have on investor security?

A number of commentators have raised concerns about the impact of a large proportion of the economy of a small country like Scotland being dominated by the banking, investment and insurance sectors. If we were to go through another credit crunch, would Scotland go the same way as Iceland in 2008 when their three main commercial banks collapsed and they narrowly avoided national bankruptcy.

 

  1. State Pensions and Auto Enrolment

 

In 2016, the state pension system in the UK will change to a single tier basis and will pay the equivalent of £146.30 per week. In the event of a Yes vote, the Scottish Nationalist Party (SNP) has confirmed that they will continue to retain the single tier pension, but considerable doubt has been expressed by the No Campaign as to the ability of an independent Scotland to do so.

The effect of increased longevity, and the increase in the ratio of pensioners to the working population has put a great deal of pressure on state pensions worldwide, and the government have taken steps to counteract this by increasing the state pension age to 68 between now and 2036.

Unpublished data from the Department of Works and Pension (DWP) suggest that this impact will be much more pronounced in Scotland than in the rest of the UK – by 2030, the number of Scots over the age of 60 will increase from 20% of the population to 30%. The impact of this could be counteracted by the fact that average life expectancy in Scotland is lower than the rest of the UK – in other words, it is likely that a pension will be paid to more people in Scotland but may not be paid for as long as it would in England and Wales.

Another key tool in reducing the pressure on the state pension is auto enrolment – by 2018, every employee in the UK will have access to a pension scheme that their employer will have to make a contribution to. Will an independent Scotland continue to enforce a version of auto enrolment, and if not, how would this affect Scottish companies and employees that have already gone through the process?

Auto enrolment can be an expensive and time consuming process, and if Scotland were to not continue auto enrolment, would English companies try to register in Scotland to avoid their obligations?

 

  1. Interest Rates

 

Regardless of whether fiscal union is retained or not, an independent Scotland would almost certainly receive a lower credit rating than the UK enjoys currently, which means that it will cost more to borrow money on the international market. This will be passed down to consumers as higher interest rates which could see mortgage costs increase, but be good news for savers and those looking to purchase an annuity.

If there is a substantial difference in interest rates between both countries, it will be very interesting if there is a migration to one country or the other to take advantage of the differential.

The impact of differences in interest rates as well as currency and tax will see a great deal of cross border movement by consumers – the border between Northern Ireland and Republic of Ireland has long seen people flocking to one side of the border or the other to buy items such as petrol and electrical goods depending on the relative strengths and weakness of Sterling against the Euro, and differences in VAT and excise duties.

 

Summary

We will be keeping a very close eye on the results of the Scottish referendum on Thursday and of course will be keeping on top of any financial developments in the event of a yes vote. As a general position, it would appear that the ‘markets’ would prefer a no vote as evidenced by the volatility we have seen since the yes campaign has been gaining traction.

In the event of a yes vote we do expect that there will be some movements in the markets and we will be keeping a very close eye on client portfolios and may make some recommendations outside of the usual review process if the impact on the markets turns out to be particularly profound. As with many of these things we expect that any movements in the market will be a reaction to the result itself rather than any specific financial implications (most of which are unknown at this point).

In the event of a yes vote there will be many un-answered questions about the continuing operation of pensions, NISA’s and other investment plans. While people will be very keen to know how the operation of these products will work in the future, we would expect the impact on investors in England being relatively limited. We will, of course keep you updated on any developments as they happen.